BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
North Texas 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
North Texas 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
33.55 |
32.99 (-0.55) |
42.00 |
40.56 (-1.44) |
37.72 (-2.84) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
466.64 |
441.76 (-24.88) |
504.40 |
459.41 (-44.99) |
452.79 (-6.62) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.49 |
6.11 (-0.38) |
7.59 |
6.56 (-1.04) |
6.39 (-0.17) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
37.64 |
42.00 (+4.36) |
35.60 |
41.19 (+5.59) |
41.49 (+0.30) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
462.73 |
497.95 (+35.23) |
454.20 |
496.02 (+41.82) |
496.74 (+0.73) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.70 |
7.29 (+0.59) |
6.30 |
6.73 (+0.43) |
6.94 (+0.21) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@South Alabama |
40.39 |
43.10 |
+2.71 |
83.48 |
45.66% |
W 52-38 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Stephen F. Austin |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 35-20 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Texas Tech |
31.13 |
56.87 |
+25.73 |
88.00 |
8.73% |
L 21-66 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Wyoming |
45.39 |
34.32 |
-11.06 |
79.71 |
67.75% |
W 44-17 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Tulsa |
52.92 |
25.60 |
-27.32 |
78.52 |
93.82% |
W 52-20 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Florida Atlantic |
38.91 |
37.22 |
-1.69 |
76.13 |
52.70% |
W 41-37 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Memphis |
37.24 |
47.36 |
+10.12 |
84.60 |
33.76% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Tulane |
39.39 |
55.53 |
+16.15 |
94.92 |
24.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Army |
35.06 |
47.03 |
+11.96 |
82.09 |
30.81% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@UTSA |
49.05 |
28.98 |
-20.07 |
78.03 |
82.19% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
East Carolina |
48.64 |
31.56 |
-17.08 |
80.20 |
77.39% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Temple |
46.15 |
32.14 |
-14.00 |
78.29 |
72.46% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
0.36% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
4.53% |
0.36% |
99.64% |
| 7-5 |
19.84% |
4.90% |
95.10% |
| 8-4 |
36.27% |
24.73% |
75.27% |
| 9-3 |
28.27% |
61.00% |
38.99% |
| 10-2 |
9.57% |
89.28% |
10.72% |
| 11-1 |
1.15% |
98.85% |
1.15% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.06% |
| 3-9 |
0.65% |
| 4-8 |
3.58% |
| 5-7 |
11.56% |
| 6-6 |
22.89% |
| 7-5 |
27.73% |
| 8-4 |
21.09% |
| 9-3 |
9.56% |
| 10-2 |
2.52% |
| 11-1 |
0.36% |
| 12-0 |
0.01% |