BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
North Texas 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
North Texas 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
33.55 |
32.99 (-0.55) |
35.67 |
34.88 (-0.79) |
34.88 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
466.64 |
441.76 (-24.88) |
495.89 |
504.76 (+8.87) |
504.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.49 |
6.11 (-0.38) |
7.12 |
6.90 (-0.22) |
6.90 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
37.64 |
42.00 (+4.36) |
37.44 |
35.85 (-1.59) |
35.85 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
462.73 |
497.95 (+35.23) |
472.89 |
472.92 (+0.04) |
472.92 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.70 |
7.29 (+0.59) |
6.54 |
6.77 (+0.23) |
6.77 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@South Alabama |
33.91 |
37.90 |
+3.98 |
71.81 |
43.61% |
W 52-38 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Stephen F. Austin |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 35-20 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Texas Tech |
37.29 |
48.68 |
+11.40 |
85.97 |
31.72% |
L 21-66 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Wyoming |
44.02 |
24.90 |
-19.12 |
68.92 |
80.67% |
W 44-17 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Tulsa |
53.26 |
23.08 |
-30.17 |
76.34 |
98.40% |
W 52-20 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Florida Atlantic |
41.19 |
28.10 |
-13.09 |
69.28 |
71.00% |
W 41-37 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Memphis |
36.78 |
43.68 |
+6.90 |
80.46 |
38.94% |
L 44-52 |
5-2 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Tulane |
28.90 |
49.67 |
+20.77 |
78.57 |
16.69% |
L 37-45 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-09 |
Army |
21.07 |
37.54 |
+16.47 |
58.61 |
23.59% |
L 3-14 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@UTSA |
44.63 |
37.33 |
-7.30 |
81.96 |
61.70% |
L 27-48 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
East Carolina |
44.62 |
38.66 |
-5.96 |
83.28 |
59.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Temple |
42.72 |
27.84 |
-14.88 |
70.57 |
73.87% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
10.43% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
45.45% |
10.43% |
89.58% |
| 7-5 |
44.12% |
55.88% |
44.12% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.04% |
| 3-9 |
0.51% |
| 4-8 |
3.31% |
| 5-7 |
10.73% |
| 6-6 |
21.62% |
| 7-5 |
27.47% |
| 8-4 |
21.77% |
| 9-3 |
10.83% |
| 10-2 |
3.19% |
| 11-1 |
0.51% |
| 12-0 |
0.03% |